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3/2020) on the new normal dates of monsoon onset and withdrawal is ready and given in the link – See PDF. Jaipur, No. Another low-pressure area is likely to develop over northeast Bay of Bengal around October 14, but IMD hasn’t issued any official warnings on that because there is no consensus yet on forecasts based on various models of weather prediction. Using the calibrated and bias-corrected in-house models, The Weather Company had earlier forecast a marginally above-normal rainfall (105%) this monsoon. 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The first option will be automatically selected. The month saw five low pressure areas (cyclonic circulations) that brought large amount of rainfall over central India.    The total number of low pressure days was 28 against the normal of about 15 in August.       "It caused 2-3 spells of riverine floods over Odisha, Telangana, Madhya Pradesh, south Gujarat and south Rajasthan. View: 28: 07/09/2020 : Weather Status for August, 2020 & its verification and Outlook for September, 2020: View: 29: 05/09/2020: Virtual Press Conference on Current Status and Forecast of Monsoon 2020: View: 30: 25/08/2020: Heavy spell of rainfall over east and northwest India during 25 … Copyright © HT Media Limited All rights reserved. Southwest monsoon withdrawal over India (2011 – 2020) As per the IMD records, it was the rainiest monsoon season in the last 25 years. ). The hero of monsoon 2019, Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is also likely to remain neutral during monsoon season. Thank you for subscribing to our daily newsletter. Ladakh has recorded large deficiency. Madhavan Rajeevan, Secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES) announced that quantitatively the monsoon rainfall is expected to be 100 per cent of its LPA this year. Advance of the southwest monsoon over Indian main land is marked by monsoon onset over Kerala and is an important indicator characterising the transition from hot and dry season to a rainy season. For COVID-19, weather & air quality updates on the go, download The Weather Channel App (on Android and iOS store). A depression over west-central Bay of Bengal has moved west-northwestwards with a speed of 12 kmph during the past six hours and was centered around 370 km south-southeast of Vishakhapatnam, 410 km southeast of Kakinada (Andhra Pradesh) and 450 km east-southeast of Narsapur (Andhra Pradesh). "A low-pressure area has formed over central parts of Bay of Bengal today, the morning of October 20. Sikkim recorded large excess rainfall. The withdrawal of the southwest monsoon has been delayed this year. While El Niño has an adverse impact on the monsoon rainfall, a strong positive IOD (like 2019) and La Niña conditions contribute to enhancing the overall rainfall across India. Meanwhile, the weather forecast put out by IMD Mumbai indicates the maximum temperature in the city on Wednesday will be 32°C, while the minimum temperature will be 26°C. As per the new normal dates of monsoon onset/progress, the southwest monsoon advances over the Andaman Sea around 22nd May. Sea conditions will be rough to very rough over west-central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal, southwest Bay of Bengal and along and off the Odisha- Andhra Pradesh-Tamil Nadu and Puducherry coasts and over the Gulf of Mannar from October 11 and 12 and over the Gulf of Mannar on October 13. It's free! The monsoon season in 2019 breached many records across India with a … Past data suggest that there is no association of the date of monsoon advance over the Andaman Sea either with the date of monsoon onset over Kerala or with the seasonal monsoon rainfall over the country. The forecast probability, as reported by IMD, indicates 20 per cent chances of below-normal (90-96% of LPA), 41 per cent chances of normal (96-104%) and 21 per cent chances of above-normal rainfall (104-110%). This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Chennai, Seasonal rainfall is likely to be 100% of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of ± 5%, the IMD said. Forecast verification for the recent 5years (2015-2019) is given in the table below: In the Indian monsoon region, initial monsoon rains are experienced over south Andaman Sea and the monsoon winds then advance in a north-westwards across the Bay of Bengal. The winds continue to be predominantly south-westerly, indicating the monsoon is active. Minimum Temperatures over North-west India. Further, the IMD report also states that neutral El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions would be neutral over the Pacific Ocean during the monsoon season, with some models indicating the possibility of weak La Niña conditions during the second half of the season. The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. It is very likely to intensify further into a deep depression during the next 24 hours and move west-northwestwards and cross the north Andhra Pradesh coast between Narsapur and Vishakhapatnam on Monday night. PTI PR LUX PR RDMRDM, (This story has not been edited by THE WEEK and is auto-generated from PTI), India committed to reconstruction and development of Afghanistan: MEA, IPL 2020: Pandey, Shankar guide SRH to 8-wicket win over RR, 'Waiting to be in jail': Kangana says willing to suffer like Savarkar, Rani of Jhansi, 1MDB scandal: Goldman Sachs to pay largest fine ever of $2.9 billion, Social networks serve as amplifiers for idiots and crazy people: Former Google CEO. The date of onset over Kerala remains June 1 . According to the IMD, a fresh low-pressure area is likely to form over the Bay of Bengal around September 20 which may lead to heavy rainfall in Odisha till September 23. As the monsoon progresses northward, relief from scorching summer temperatures is experienced over the areas. In 2020, the monsoon may pass both these markers since it has so far retreated only from the northern and north-western parts of the country. Until 2019, the LPA stood at 887.5 mm considering the average from 1951-2000. IMD has issued orange alerts for heavy rainfall in several parts of central, south India, and eastern state Odisha. The IMD predicted the intensity of monsoon rainfall could be anywhere between 96 and 104 per cent of the long period average (LPA). Pre monsoon rainfall peak over south Peninsula. Southwest monsoon sets over Kerala on 1st June with a standard deviation of about 7 days. Termed as the 'Real Finance Minister of India' by former President Pranabh Mukherjee, monsoon governed the economy of the country through it's immense influence on the farming sector, which provides livelihood for more than half of country's population. Its timely onset was also aided by cyclone Nisarga.     Monsoon made an onset over Kerala on June 1, its normal annual onset date. By continuing to use this website, you agree to the use of these cookies. You can manage them any time from your browser settings. For monsoon to withdraw the wind direction needs to change completely to north-easterly but monsoon hasn’t managed to withdraw due to consecutive weather systems forming in October,” explained Sunitha Devi, in charge of cyclone prediction at IMD.

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